Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000142 0.000158 0.000176 0.000197
2024-10-20 0.000085 0.000101 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000200 0.000238
2024-10-27 0.000073 0.000092 0.000114 0.000143 0.000180 0.000223 0.000281
2024-11-03 0.000063 0.000083 0.000108 0.000141 0.000186 0.000242 0.000319
2024-11-10 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000144 0.000197 0.000268 0.000368
2024-11-17 0.000050 0.000071 0.000100 0.000143 0.000203 0.000287 0.000411
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000066 0.000097 0.000143 0.000212 0.000309 0.000459
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000061 0.000093 0.000142 0.000216 0.000326 0.000501
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000140 0.000221 0.000344 0.000545
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000086 0.000140 0.000227 0.000364 0.000594
2024-12-22 0.000030 0.000051 0.000084 0.000140 0.000234 0.000385 0.000646
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000082 0.000141 0.000241 0.000406 0.000699
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000245 0.000424 0.000751
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000044 0.000077 0.000140 0.000253 0.000449 0.000818
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000076 0.000141 0.000261 0.000476 0.000889
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000073 0.000139 0.000264 0.000493 0.000944
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000142 0.000276 0.000526 0.001032
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000141 0.000280 0.000547 0.001098
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000069 0.000141 0.000287 0.000573 0.001178
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000067 0.000139 0.000290 0.000591 0.001242
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000031 0.000065 0.000138 0.000294 0.000612 0.001312
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000064 0.000138 0.000300 0.000636 0.001393
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000062 0.000138 0.000306 0.000662 0.001480